Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday


	América RN		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	1.9	3.15	3.75
	2.08	3.2	3.79
	1.95	3	3.5
	2.03	3.1	3.68	Watch
	1.97	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.7)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)	3.6 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
45.8%

Draw
29%

Operário Ferroviario
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América RN's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

América RN - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América RN: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno (G) 21. Frank 35. Gilvan 32. Guedes 3. Jean Pierre (C) 27. Luan Sales 6. Luiz Paulo 31. Rael 13. Renan Gorne 16. Rodriguinho 9. Wallace Pernambucano	1. Rafael Santos (C) 7. Alison 6. Arthur Neves 11. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio 3. Jonathan Costa 10. Luiz Henrique 8. Vinicius Diniz 9. Vinicius Popo 4. Willian Machado 2. Yago Rocha
Substitutes
7. Allef 8. Araujo 30. Carlao (G) 4. Edson Silva 10. Elvinho 33. Ferreira de Amorim A. 37. Gabriel Silva 20. Gustavo Ramos 34. Henrique Cesar 26. Kaio 38. Leo Rafael 36. Ludke M.	20. Dudu Scheit 21. Erik Bessa 18. Jean Carlos 12. Jeferson Romario (G) 13. Jonathan 17. Luidy 15. Marcinho 16. Para 19. Rafhael Lucas 14. Savio

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

América RN will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie C
27.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	0:0 ✺
21.05.23	Volta Redonda - América RN	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
17.05.23	ABC - América RN	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
13.05.23	América RN - Botafogo PB	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
10.05.23	América RN - ABC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTTW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie C
28.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
15.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - Manaus	2:0 ✺
04.05.23	Botafogo PB - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTWL

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