Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Ytterhogdal		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	3.8
	1.83	4.2	3.3
	2.02	3.74	2.91
	2.06	3.8	2.81
	1.91	3.8	2.9
	1.68	4.1	3.89
	1.83	4.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.45)	3.96 ↓ (4.55)	3.27 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ytterhogdal
49.2%

Draw
23%

IFK Östersunds
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

18.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ytterhogdal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ytterhogdal's form might have worsened.

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting IFK Östersunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ytterhogdal than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ytterhogdal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Östersunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ytterhogdal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, van Helvoirt J. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
73', 1 - 4, ⚽,
81', 1 - 5, ⚽,
82', 1 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norrland (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ytterhogdal won 2.

Ytterhogdal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

IFK Östersunds is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ytterhogdal is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ytterhogdal won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ytterhogdal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ytterhogdals IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
18.05.24	Ytterhogdal - Team TG	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Boden - Ytterhogdal	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Ytterhogdal - Täfteå	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Lucksta - Ytterhogdal	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ytterhogdal - Gottne	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWTW
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
18.05.24	IFK Östersunds - Boden	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Umeå - IFK Östersunds	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	IFK Östersunds - Lucksta	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Gottne - IFK Östersunds	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	IFK Östersunds - Luleå	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.06.23	Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds	1:2
01.08.22	Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds	0:1
02.04.22	IFK Östersunds - Ytterhogdal	5:0
13.08.21	IFK Östersunds - Ytterhogdal	0:2
10.07.21	Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds	3:1
10.08.20	Ytterhogdal - IFK Östersunds	1:2
04.10.19	IFK Östersunds - Ytterhogdal	0:1

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