The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yunnan Yukun 64.2%
Draw 20.3%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.6%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
22.9%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 50.6% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 20. Tang Miao 26. Zhang Chenliang 33. Burca A. 19. Huang Zichang 8. Xu Xin 10. Ionita II A. (C) 15. Zhang Yufeng 34. Caio Vinicius 11. Taty Maritu O. 9. Cleber
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 3. Wang Zhenghao 11. Xie Weijun 4. Yang Fan 17. Wu Xinghan 6. Wang Xianjun 20. Ji Shengpan 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 5. Grau J. 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A.
Substitutes
39. Abdusalam B. 32. Chen Yuhao 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 5. Shi Ke 17. Sun Xuelong 23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 21. Yang Zihao 7. Ye Chugui 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 6. Zhao Yuhao
29. Ba Dun 39. Cai Chengjun 24. Chen Zhexuan 7. Guilherme Schettine 27. Li S. 19. Liu J. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 33. Naibo Ninglin 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 26. Zhang Haoran (G)
Coaches
Vinyals J.
Yu Genwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Zhang Chenliang 🟨,
33', Yang Fan 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Quiles A. ⚽, Wang Zhenghao (A),
45+5', Wang Zhenghao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ji Shengpan ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
46', Wang Zhenghao ↓, Ba Dun ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Quiles A. (A),
61', Zhang Yufeng ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
62', Huang Zichang 🟨,
70', Zhang Chenliang 🟨,
77', Wang Qiuming ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Quiles A. ⚽, Guilherme Schettine (A),
83', Quiles A. ↓, Liu J. ↑,
85', Xie Weijun 🟨,
86', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
86', Xu Xin ↓, Shi Ke ↑,
86', Huang Zichang ↓, Yang Zihao ↑,
88', Xadas ↓, Li Yongjia ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Recent performances by Yunnan Yukun have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
Yi Teng
(Inactive)
There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Cordoba A.
(Injury)
Huang Jiahui
(Red Card)
Yan Bingliang
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
China
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Bao Yaxiong (G) 
Burca A. 
Caio Vinicius 
Taty Maritu O. 
Grau J. 
Xadas 
