Match Info

League Cup - Round 4

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Cairo Military Academy Stadium (Cairo)


	ZED		Haras El-Hodood

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.68	2.88
	2.34	2.62	3.76	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.75
	2.8	2.58	2.72	Watch
	2.83	2.66	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.06)	2.61 ↓ (2.88)	2.99 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ZED
34%

Draw
35.2%

Haras El-Hodood
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

32.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

31.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ZED's form might have worsened.

Haras El-Hodood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haras El-Hodood's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ZED, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haras El-Hodood, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

ZED - Haras El Hodood Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haras El-Hodood: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Haras El-Hodood (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - ZED (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Haras El-Hodood will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. ZED (votes: 3 - 30%). Haras El-Hodood (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lotfi A. (C) 18. Ahmed El Sageery 21. Ashraf M. 4. Castelo A. 15. Ibrahim S. 88. Kabaka 7. Khalil R. 37. Magassa M. 14. Messi 24. Rabia M. 11. Saad M.	13. Shaaban A. (G) 5. Abdelhakim I. 4. Abou-Salima I. 14. Ashraf M. (C) 24. Awad M. 12. Bayoumi M. 10. El Henawy F. 9. Gamal A. 74. Ouka M. 22. Saviola O. 21. Yasser M.
Substitutes
32. Bostangy A. 39. Gomaa K. 22. Hamdy A. 10. Hussein S. 13. Keita A. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 26. Mutumosi Zilu P. 12. Osama Nabih Y. 90. Yasser M.	29. El Negely M. 19. El Sheikh A. 99. Hamdi M. 55. Helal M. H. 45. Kouadja K. 11. Mostafa M. 31. Raafat M. 16. Seha A. (G) 72. Tarek Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Ashraf M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Messi ⚽, Kabaka (A),
38', 2 - 0, Khalil R. ⚽, Saad M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yasser M. ↓, Helal M. H. ↑,
46', Abdelhakim I. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
46', Gamal A. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
49', Saviola O. 🟨,
52', El Negely M. 🟨,
67', Ashraf M. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
70', Saviola O. ↓, El Sheikh A. ↑,
72', Khalil R. ↓, Mutumosi Zilu P. ↑,
85', Kabaka ↓, Gomaa K. ↑,
85', Messi ↓, Bostangy A. ↑,
85', Saad M. ↓, Yasser M. ↑,
87', Ashraf M. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,

Preview

ZED is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Haras El-Hodood is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Haras El-Hodood has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ZED won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, ZED won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ZED FC
Egyptian Cup
26.12.25	ZED - Alo Egypt	1:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
19.12.25	Al Masry - ZED	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	ZED - Smouha	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
23.11.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - ZED	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	ZED - National Bank of Egypt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWT
- Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian League Cup
25.12.25	Al Masry - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Zamalek - Haras El-Hodood	2:1 ✺
Egyptian Cup
01.12.25	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	3:1 ET ✺
Egyptian Premier League
23.11.25	Petrojet - Haras El-Hodood	3:1 ✺
04.11.25	Wadi Degla - Haras El-Hodood	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
27.09.25	ZED - Haras El-Hodood	0:1
30.11.24	ZED - Haras El-Hodood	2:0
03.09.20	ZED - Haras El-Hodood	1:1
11.12.19	Haras El-Hodood - ZED	0:0

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