Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Górnik 2 Zabrze

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.95	3.05
	1.83	4.14	3.16
	1.9	4.29	3	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.1
	2.22	4.24	2.53	Watch
	1.98	3.51	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.98)	3.97 ↑ (3.51)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
46.6%

Draw
22.8%

Górnik 2 Zabrze
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Górnik 2 Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik 2 Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Plocica M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
61', 0 - 2, Bedronka M. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Skiba D. ⚽,
77', 0 - 4, Skiba D. ⚽,
88', 0 - 5, Kosiba B. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 3.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Zagłębie 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zagłębie 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zaglebie II	11	6	5	0	23:13	10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.04.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:4 ✺
04.04.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Kluczbork	3:2 ✺
18.03.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWW
- Górnik 2 Zabrze
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.04.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Sparta Katowice - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Słowianin Wolibórz	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Górnik Zabrze - Górnik 2 Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
20.03.26	Polonia Nysa - Górnik 2 Zabrze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
28.09.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1
28.05.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	5:1
24.10.21	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1
31.03.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	4:1
18.11.20	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2
28.09.19	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:3
14.04.19	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Górnik 2 Zabrze	0:2

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