The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Lubin 38.2%
Draw 28.5%
Wisła Płock 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
28.8%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
27.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.
Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wisła Płock's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Lubin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
33. Alomerovic Z. (G) 5. Lawniczak A. 25. Nalepa M. 3. Yakuba R. 13. Grzybek M. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 6. Colina D. 44. Regula M. 19. Lyczko S. 18. Szymczak F.
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. 34. Silva A. 21. Rogelj Z. 18. Prsir J. 5. Tavares S. 19. Gallapeni D. 57. Akere S. 20. Sekulski L. (C) 23. Kun P.
Substitutes
1. Buric J. (G) 20. Dziewiatowski M. 30. Hladun D. (G) 37. Kerk S. 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 4. Michalski D. 88. Mlinaric M. 31. Orlikowski I. 99. Popielec C. 11. Wozniak A.
26. Burek J. (G) 3. Flis M. 10. Hamulic S. 16. Hiszpanski F. 9. Juric D. 7. Kobacki O. 17. Radwanski A. 88. Savvidis K. 41. Wieckowski M.
Coaches
Ojrzynski L.
Majewski A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Szymczak F. 🟨,
20', Colina D. 🟨,
42', Silva A. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Sekulski L. ⚽, Rogelj Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Grzybek M. 🟨,
58', Colina D. ↓, Kerk S. ↑,
58', Grzybek M. ↓, Michalski D. ↑,
58', Szymczak F. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
58', Lyczko S. ↓, Mlinaric M. ↑,
65', Akere S. ↓, Kobacki O. ↑,
70', Prsir J. ↓, Savvidis K. ↑,
76', Kun P. 🟨,
81', Tavares S. ↓, Flis M. ↑,
81', Kun P. ↓, Hiszpanski F. ↑,
82', Sekulski L. ↓, Hamulic S. ↑,
82', Lawniczak A. ↓, Orlikowski I. ↑,
89', Nalepa M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Hamulic S. ⚽, Hiszpanski F. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Wisła Płock could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Zagłębie Lubin: Szabo L.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Wisła Płock: Pacheco D.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zagłębie Lubin has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:33 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zagłębie Lubin against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now
Zaglebie: 1.64% Wisla Plock: 0.68%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Zaglebie
9
4
3
2
11:10
1
15
11
Wisla Plock
8
3
2
3
9:12
-3
11
Last Results with these Odds
Wisła Płock - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 27.57%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Alomerovic Z. (G) 
Lawniczak A. 
Yakuba R. 
Colina D. 
Haglind-Sangre M. 
Silva A. 
Rogelj Z. 
Tavares S. 
Gallapeni D. 
Akere S. 
Buric J. (G) 
Kerk S. 
Kosidis M. 
Juric D. 
