Match Info

CROATIA: DRUGA NL - ROUND 22

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Zagorec Krapina		Jadran Luka Ploče

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.74	2.5
	2.35	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.9)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagorec Krapina
38.9%

Draw
25.7%

Jadran Luka Ploče
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

28.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagorec Krapina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagorec Krapina's performance.

Jadran Luka Ploče has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jadran Luka Ploče might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagorec Krapina than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zagorec Krapina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jadran Luka Ploče could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Zagorec Krapina - Jadran Luka Ploče Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zagorec will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagorec: 64.6% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Jadran Luka Ploče could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jadran Luka Ploče will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zagorec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagorec Krapina
Croatian Druga NL
25.03.23	Zagorec Krapina - Zrinski Osječko	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Bjelovar - Zagorec Krapina	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Zagorec Krapina - Hrvace	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Osijek 2 - Zagorec Krapina	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Dugo Selo - Zagorec Krapina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WTLWL
- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
01.04.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Grobničan	3:2 ✺
25.03.23	Jadran Poreč - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb	6:2 ✺
11.03.23	Mladost Ždralovi - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Sesvete	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
01.10.22	Jadran Luka Ploče - Zagorec Krapina	5:1

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