Match Info

Druga NL - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: NK Jadran (Luka Ploce)


	Jadran Luka Ploče		Trnje Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.95	6.9
	1.02	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.34	4.75	7.04
	1.3	5.05	7.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	3.94 ↓ (4.5)	5.67 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jadran Luka Ploče
65.2%

Draw
20.6%

Trnje Zagreb
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

18.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jadran Luka Ploče has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Trnje Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Luka Ploče than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1%)

Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Vuckovic M. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Nizic L. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Rodin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 4 - 0, Matanovic L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Jadran Luka Ploče has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Trnje's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trnje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jadran Luka Ploče is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jadran Luka Ploče won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jadran Luka Ploče won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jadran Luka Ploče
Croatian Druga NL
27.09.25	Dugo Selo - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Grobničan	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Kustošija - Jadran Luka Ploče	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Uskok Klis	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Bjelovar - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWLT
- Trnje Zagreb
Croatian Druga NL
27.09.25	Trnje Zagreb - Varteks Varazdin	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Trnje Zagreb	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Trnje Zagreb - Solin	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Trnje Zagreb	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Trnje Zagreb - Uljanik Pula	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
29.03.25	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Luka Ploče	2:2
28.09.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb	2:0
17.05.24	Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb	1:1
11.11.23	Trnje Zagreb - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:1
18.03.23	Jadran Luka Ploče - Trnje Zagreb	6:2

Upcoming Matches