Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Polonia Nysa

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.95	3.85
	1.88	4.42	3.07
	1.72	3.92	3.82	Watch
	1.43	4.5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.43)	4.2 ↓ (4.45)	4 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
55.1%

Draw
21.9%

Polonia Nysa
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

20.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

18.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie 2 Lubin's form might have worsened.

Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Nysa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Popielec C. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Nowogonski K. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Dorozko J. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Podgorski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 4 - 1, Kaczmarek K. ⚽,
66', 4 - 2, Wojcicki R. ⚽,
90', 5 - 2, Antkiewicz F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4).

Zagłębie 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Polonia Nysa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zagłębie 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.25	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Skra Częstochowa	3:4 ✺
31.08.25	Kluczbork - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:5 ✺
22.08.25	Polkowice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLL
- Polonia Nysa
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Stal Jasień	5:1 ✺
05.09.25	Polonia Nysa - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polonia Nysa	2:2 ✺
27.08.25	Polonia Nysa - Starowice Dolne	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Ślęza Wrocław - Polonia Nysa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
02.06.21	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Nysa	3:1
07.11.20	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0

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