The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 41.5%
Draw 28.4%
Olimpia Grudziądz 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
26.8%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
27.1%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.
Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Grudziądz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Kabala M. (G) 10. Agbor E. 22. Dziedzic I. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 4. Kurtovic R. 21. Matras M. (C) 45. Pawlowski J. 92. Rakels D. 9. Shikavka Y. 17. Skora K. 43. Szot D.
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 5. Czajka B. 16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. (C) 18. Jarzec K. 3. Klimczak A. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 13. Moneta L. 26. Sewerzynski O. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
18. Bazler M. 27. Borun B. 23. Checinski B. 19. Mucha P. 7. Ronnberg L. 87. Siuta K. (G) 11. Snopczynski B. 16. Wasiluk B. 77. Zawojski B.
21. Bonikowski J. 33. Budchan E. (G) 10. Cichon K. 15. Koncewicz-Zylka P. 72. Koperski F. . Pawlowski M. 93. Tsyupa I. 42. Zablonski P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Mas M. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Shikavka Y. ⚽,
25', Sewerzynski O. 🟨,
33', 1 - 2, Frelek D. ⚽,
43', Agbor E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Agbor E. ↓, Borun B. ↑,
46', Klimczak A. ↓, Tsyupa I. ↑,
46', Fietz K. ↓, Cichon K. ↑,
55', Kobryn R. 🟨,
66', Pawlowski J. ↓, Mucha P. ↑,
67', Moneta L. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
77', Rakels D. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
78', Frelek D. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Snopczynski B. ⚽,
80', Jarzec K. ↓, Bonikowski J. ↑,
81', Borun B. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Skora K. ⚽,
83', Sewerzynski O. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', Mas M. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
87', Shikavka Y. ↓, Ronnberg L. ↑,
87', Skora K. ↓, Wasiluk B. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 3, Zbiciak B. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 2.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Zagłębie Sosnowiec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Poland
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Kabala M. (G) 
Agbor E. 
Kurtovic R. 
Rakels D. 
Shikavka Y. 
Ronnberg L. 
Tsyupa I. 
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