Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Ludowy (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.84	3.45	3.75
	1.98	3.3	3.55
	2.03	3.63	3.77
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.99	3.54	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	3.62 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
47.3%

Draw
27.1%

Stomil Olsztyn
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

26.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

29.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Stomil will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Sosnowiec: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Stomil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zagłębie Sosnowiec is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
09.05.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:3 ✺
01.05.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:2 ✺
26.04.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
22.04.22	Resovia Rzeszów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWLTT
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 1
06.05.22	Skra Częstochowa - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
02.05.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
28.04.22	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1 ✺
19.04.22	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Katowice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.11.21	Stomil Olsztyn - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1
27.03.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stomil Olsztyn	2:1
25.09.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0
07.06.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stomil Olsztyn	2:1
30.08.19	Stomil Olsztyn - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3
12.05.18	Stomil Olsztyn - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:2
22.10.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stomil Olsztyn	5:1

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