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Current Win Probability
Zamalek 62.1%
Draw 25%
El Gouna 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
24.3%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.6%
23.1%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zamalek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
8.3%
8.3%
Zamalek - El Gouna Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - El Gouna (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Zamalek will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zamalek will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 4 - 80%). El Gouna (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Sobhi M. (G) 13. Fatouh A. 24. Ismail M. 5. Abdelmaguid H. 15. Moussaddaq S. 8. Dunga N. 19. El Said A. 77. Maali A. 22. Maher N. 18. Kaied A. 98. Dabbagh O.
23. Alaa M. (G) 27. Randrianantenaina A. 2. Taalab A. 3. Khaled A. 36. Turay A. 24. El Zahdi A. 22. El Nahas M. 6. Ibrahim H. 5. El Shimi S. (C) 12. Hassouna M. 19. El Sayed B.
Substitutes
1. Awad M. (G) 81. Banza C. 11. Esho A. 7. Farouk Gaafar S. 4. Gaber O. 14. Hamdi A. 9. Mansy N. 90. Nasser A. 31. Sherif A.
25. El Said A. 30. Emad M. 90. Karim A. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 9. Mohsen M. 29. Ojo T. 8. Salah R. 37. Wael H.
Coaches
Ferrera Y.
Mostafa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Dabbagh O. ⚽, Maher N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Alaa M. 🟨,
65', El Zahdi A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
68', Maali A. ↓, Banza C. ↑,
78', Dabbagh O. ↓, Gaber O. ↑,
78', Moussaddaq S. ↓, Nasser A. ↑,
79', El Nahas M. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
79', El Sayed B. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
79', Randrianantenaina A. ↓, Karim A. ↑,
83', Dunga N. ↓, Hamdi A. ↑,
83', Kaied A. ↓, Esho A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Emad M. ⚽, Karim A. (A),
90+3', Ibrahim H. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
90+6', El Said A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.
Zamalek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, El Gouna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Zamalek is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Zamalek will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:13. (average 2.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).