Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	On Time Sports 1


	El Gouna		ZED

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.7	2.35
	2.72	2.52	3.05
	2.86	2.6	3.33
	4.12	1.84	3.45	Watch
	3.2	2.62	2.5
	2.73	2.57	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.39)	2.48 ↓ (2.6)	2.95 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
30.2%

Draw
37.9%

ZED
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

35.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

El Gouna - ZED Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - El Gouna (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. El Gouna (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 13. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 5. El Shimi S. 18. Jatta A. 6. Ibrahim H. 19. El Sayed B. 12. Hassouna M. (C) 29. Ojo T. 22. El Nahas M. 24. El Zahdi A.	1. Lotfi A. (C) 8. Sayed A. 4. Castelo A. 5. Tarek A. 24. Rabia M. 18. Ahmed El Sageery 20. Alaa H. 37. Magassa M. 11. Saad M. 9. Atef A. 14. Messi
Substitutes
20. Belia A. 25. El Said A. 30. Emad M. 17. Gamal A. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 9. Mohsen M. 8. Salah R. 36. Turay A.	17. Abdelrahman El Sakran 3. Bakri A. 19. Emad A. 30. Gamal A. 10. Hussein S. 13. Keita A. 7. Khalil R. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 77. Saber M.
Coaches
Mostafa A.	Shawky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Messi 🟨,
44', Magassa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Magassa M. ↓, Emad A. ↑,
53', Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ↓, Turay A. ↑,
62', Messi ↓, Abdelrahman El Sakran ↑,
67', El Zahdi A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
67', El Sayed B. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
68', Atef A. ↓, Hussein S. ↑,
68', Alaa H. ↓, Saber M. ↑,
71', Emad A. 🟨,
81', El Nahas M. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
81', Ojo T. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Abdelrahman El Sakran ⚽, Saber M. (A),
87', Saad M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
90', Abdelrahman El Sakran 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Gamal A. (Own goal),
90+7', Hussein S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

ZED - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
24.08.25	ENPPI - El Gouna	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	El Gouna - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Ismaily - El Gouna	3:0 ✺
16.05.25	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTWLW
- ZED FC
Egyptian Premier League
25.08.25	ZED - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Smouha - ZED	1:1 ✺
14.08.25	ZED - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	ZED - Smouha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
11.04.25	ZED - El Gouna	1:2
31.10.24	El Gouna - ZED	0:0
22.04.24	ZED - El Gouna	3:0
27.09.23	El Gouna - ZED	0:1
22.08.20	El Gouna - ZED	0:1
Egyptian Cup
03.12.19	ZED - El Gouna	1:0 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
17.10.19	ZED - El Gouna	0:0

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