Match Info

WORLD: ARAB CLUB CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 28 July 2023, Friday

Location: King Fahd Stadium (Ta’if)


	Zamalek		Monastir

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.6
	1.67	3.5	5.25
	1.68	3.56	4.95
	1.56	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.95)	3.59 ↓ (3.78)	4.98 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
55.8%

Draw
25.7%

Monastir
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamalek's performance.

Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monastir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamalek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monastir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Zamalek - Monastir Predictions

Users Predictions: Zamalek will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sobhi M. (G) 24. Mathlouthi H. 5. Abdel Ghani M. 36. Abdelmaguid H. 29. Ahmed Fatouh 4. Gaber O. 20. Dunga N. 10. Shikabala 7. Ndiaye I. 30. Jaziri S. 25. Zizo	32. Ben Said B. (G) 25. Boutiche A. 20. Salhi C. 5. Zeguei N. F. 21. Baccar H. 23. Mhirssi I. 15. Sarr B. 10. Mannai F. 28. El Welly Y. 9. Traore B. 17. Medfai M.
Substitutes
12. Ashraf M. 1. Awad M. H. (G) 31. Beso M. 6. El Zenary M. 15. Emad A. 45. Esho Ahmed 39. Gadelrab S. 47. Mohamed H. 34. Nadeem M. (G) 19. Naser M. 38. Tarek M. 53. Yasser A.	19. Aloui Z. 29. Ben Amor M. 4. Ben Othmane W. 1. Besbes R. (G) 14. Dridi A. 7. Jafeli A. 30. Jebali C 2. Khefacha I. 18. Kouraichi A 27. Ouerfelli M. 12. Soltani F. 22. Yeddes S. (G)

Preview

Zamalek is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Monastir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monastir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zamalek is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League
16.07.23	Zamalek - Pharco	2:2 ✺
13.07.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	4:1 ✺
08.07.23	Modern Sport - Zamalek	2:3 ✺
Egyptian Cup
04.07.23	Zamalek - El Mokawloon El Arab	6:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
27.06.23	Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWWW
- US Monastir
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
30.06.23	Monastir - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
26.06.23	Olympique Béja - Monastir	1:3 ✺
23.06.23	Monastir - Ben Guerdane	3:1 ✺
10.06.23	Club Africain - Monastir	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Monastir - Étoile du Sahel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWTL

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