Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Round 1

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Zamalek		ZESCO United

	1	X	2
	1.2	5	15	Watch
	1.21	4.95	12.5	Watch
	1.06	9.83	25.00	Watch
	1.22	6.01	18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.41)	6.45 ↑ (3.65)	17.63 ↑ (7.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
80.1%

Draw
14.6%

ZESCO United
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

24.6%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

23.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamalek's performance.

ZESCO United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ZESCO United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamalek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZESCO United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ZESCO United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zamalek - ZESCO United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Awad M. (G) 5. Abdelmaguid H. 8. Dunga N. 28. El Wensh Mahmoud 13. Fatouh A. 4. Gaber O. (C) 30. Jaziri S. 33. Juan Alvina 22. Maher N. 17. Shehata M. 31. Sherif A.	40. Sakauta P. (G) 30. Chepeshi B. 14. Chongo K. 29. Kouablan F. M. 21. Mayembe S. 25. Mkhonta L. (C) 19. Mulenga L. 2. Sakala S. 17. Siankombo A. 6. Simukonda D. 18. Vitalis Gantar F.
Substitutes
32. Banza C. 27. Dabbagh O. 19. El Said A. 6. Gehad M. 18. Kaied A. 23. Maali A. 29. Nasser A. 38. Ochieng B. 16. Sobhi M. (G)	9. Amine H. 26. Chabala M. 39. Chilongoshi Z. 8. Ifoni O. P. 28. Musukuma P. 12. Ngoma S. 10. Ngonga A. 24. Phiri P. 35. Sochima V. (G)
Coaches
Abdel-Raouf A. G.	Lwandamina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Dunga N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Jaziri S. ⚽, Maher N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Mkhonta L. 🟨,
60', Siankombo A. ↓, Phiri P. ↑,
60', Sakala S. ↓, Musukuma P. ↑,
61', Sherif A. ↓, El Said A. ↑,
68', Mkhonta L. ↓, Amine H. ↑,
68', Dunga N. ↓, Gehad M. ↑,
69', Jaziri S. ↓, Dabbagh O. ↑,
84', Gehad M. 🟨,
87', Maher N. ↓, Banza C. ↑,
87', Gehad M. ↓, Kaied A. ↑,
88', Kouablan F. M. ↓, Ifoni O. P. ↑,

Preview

Zamalek has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ZESCO has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

ZESCO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, ZESCO has had a series of away games.

In this match, Zamalek is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Zamalek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Zamalek - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 63.9%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
Egyptian Super Cup
09.11.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Zamalek - Pyramids	1:0 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
02.11.25	Zamalek - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:1 ✺
30.10.25	National Bank of Egypt - Zamalek	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Zamalek - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWTT
- ZESCO United
Zambian Premier League
08.11.25	Maestro United Zambia - ZESCO United	0:0 ✺
05.11.25	Power Dynamos - ZESCO United	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Green Buffaloes - ZESCO United	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	NAPSA Stars - ZESCO United	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
18.10.25	ZESCO United - Jwaneng Galaxy	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
10.01.20	Zamalek - ZESCO United	2:0
28.12.19	ZESCO United - Zamalek	1:1

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