The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zamora 32.1%
Draw 28.6%
Universidad Central 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
29.9%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
27.3%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zamora's form might have worsened.
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Central's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zamora - Universidad Central Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Velasquez B. (G) 40. Valladares I. 4. Rodriguez B. 25. Mosquera J. 23. Hernandez Y. 38. Sinisterra J. 27. Diaz Moreno C. M. 8. Flores A. (C) 70. Espinal F. 10. Celis R. 17. Marco Bustillo
22. Romo R. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 13. Peraza E. 6. Mottes G. 24. Cumana Y. 21. Rodriguez V. 5. Sole F. 11. Lugo W. 10. Sosa S. 9. Alegria J. 8. Zapata J.
Substitutes
1. Armesto K. (G) 7. Gallardo E. 2. Gomez S. 77. Jimenez N. 22. Madera J. 33. Martinez N. 6. Moreno J. 26. Rito E. 80. Ruiz F. 20. Sulbaran S. 30. Torrealba S.
33. Colmenares C. 44. Colmenarez J. 16. De Sousa D. 43. Diaz C. 37. Flores C. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 25. Hernandez Ochoa J. S. 3. Pabon Delgao S. J. 28. Ruiz M. 18. Sarli R. 1. Schiavone G. (G)
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Flores A. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Celis R. ⚽, Valladares I. (A),
31', Celis R. 🟨,
45+4', Diaz Moreno C. M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ortiz J. 🟨,
60', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
63', Lugo W. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
63', Sole F. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
66', Sosa S. ↓, Colmenares C. ↑,
66', Marco Bustillo ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
76', Mottes G. 🟨,
80', Sinisterra J. ↓, Torrealba S. ↑,
80', Flores A. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
80', Valladares I. ↓, Jimenez N. ↑,
81', Mottes G. ↓, Hernandez Ochoa J. S. ↑,
81', Silva K. ↓, Colmenarez J. ↑,
85', Celis R. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
90+3', Espinal F. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 2.
Recent performances by Zamora have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Universidad Central is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Zamora won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Universidad Central
11
4
3
4
12:11
1
15
13
Zamora
11
2
2
7
10:21
-11
8
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad Central - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Velasquez B. (G) 
Mosquera J. 
Mottes G. 
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