Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	ESPN, SBT
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	DAZN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Netherlands	ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Santos		Universidad Central

	1	X	2
	1.20	7.00	12.00	Watch
	1.23	6.75	10.00
	1.22	6.10	12.50	Watch
	1.21	6.55	13.38
	1.23	6.25	12.96	Watch
	1.17	6.45	13.00
	1.21	7.05	12.10	Watch
	1.20	6.20	12.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.7)	6.54 ↑ (3.32)	12.24 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santos
77.9%

Draw
14.4%

Universidad Central
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Santos - Universidad Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 25. Gabriel Menino 98. Frias A. 26. Joao Ananias 31. Escobar G. 15. Willian Arao 28. Oliva C. 30. Miguelito 32. Rollheiser B. 22. Barreal A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa (C)	1. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 28. Ruiz M. 6. Mottes G. 24. Cumana Y. 11. Lugo W. 21. Rodriguez V. 5. Sole F. 7. Mosquera E. 10. Sosa S. 8. Zapata J.
Substitutes
1. Diogenes (G) 49. Gabriel Bontempo 18. Igor Vinicius 5. Joao Schmidt 14. Luan Peres 4. Lucas Verissimo 21. Moises 10. Neymar 81. Pierri S. 7. Robinho Jr. 11. Rony 16. Thaciano	27. Carrillo D. 16. De Sousa D. 30. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 3. Pabon Delgao S. J. 13. Peraza E. 18. Sarli R. 4. Velasquez W.
Coaches
Cuca	Sasso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽,
29', Sole F. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Miguelito ⚽, Gabriel Menino (A),
45+3', Lugo W. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Cumana Y. ↓, Carrillo D. ↑,
46', Joao Ananias ↓, Lucas Verissimo ↑,
46', Willian Arao ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
46', Miguelito ↓, Neymar ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽,
64', Sosa S. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
64', Lugo W. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Gabriel Menino ⚽,
72', 3 - 2, Mottes G. ⚽, Mosquera E. (A),
73', Mosquera E. ↓, Sarli R. ↑,
75', Barreal A. ↓, Rony ↑,
75', Rollheiser B. ↓, Igor Vinicius ↑,
82', Rodriguez V. ↓, Velasquez W. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 2, Rony ⚽, Gabriel Bontempo (A),

Preview

First leg result: 4-1.

Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santos is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Santos - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 52.17%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
25.07.26	Santos - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.07.26	Universidad Central - Santos	1:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Santos - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Santos - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Copa Sudamericana
21.07.26	Universidad Central - Santos	1:4 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.05.26	Universidad Central - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Libertad Asuncion - Universidad Central	0:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Rosario Central - Universidad Central	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
21.07.26	Universidad Central - Santos	1:4

Upcoming Matches