The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zaragoza B 31%
Draw 27.3%
Alavés B 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
27.2%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
26.4%
51.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zaragoza B's performance.
Alavés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alavés B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zaragoza B that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavés B than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alavés B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zaragoza B - Alavés B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Olaiz X. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Goni H. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Pinillos Wilson L. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Alavés B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alavés B is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Zaragoza B - the odds 4.02 are the expected chance of winning is 22.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.