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Current Win Probability
Utebo 60%
Draw 23.3%
Zaragoza B 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
23.3%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
17.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Zaragoza B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utebo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Utebo - Zaragoza B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Vadillo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 🟥,
79', 1 - 1, Suarez D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 4.
Recent performances by Utebo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Zaragoza B's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Utebo is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Utebo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Utebo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Utebo FC
5
1
3
1
5:5
0
6
Last Results with these Odds
Utebo - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 61.75%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.