Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zarautz KE		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.57	2.93	2.09
	3.56	3.01	2.11
	3.5	2.75	2.15
	3.6	2.92	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.44)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)	2.11 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarautz KE
25.9%

Draw
31%

Lagun Onak
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

31.5%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

29.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

Zarautz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lagun Onak has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lagun Onak is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lagun Onak	8	2	1	5	8:13	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarautz KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Eibar C - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Zarautz KE - Deusto	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Añorga - Zarautz KE	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Zarautz KE - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Durango - Zarautz KE	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.02.26	Lagun Onak - Deusto	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lagun Onak - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Derio - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lagun Onak - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWT

Zarautz KE - Lagun Onak