Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Zarautz KE		Zamudio

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Zarautz KE
31.4%

Draw
31.4%

Zamudio
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

28.8%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Zamudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Zarautz has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zamudio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarautz KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Zarautz KE - Touring KE	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Santurtzi - Zarautz KE	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Zarautz KE - Alavés C	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Real Sociedad C - Zarautz KE	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Zarautz KE - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Zamudio SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Santurtzi - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Zamudio - Real Sociedad C	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Pasaia - Zamudio	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Zamudio - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Deusto - Zamudio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTWL

Zarautz KE - Zamudio