Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Zarautz KE |
|
Zamudio |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.88 |
2.82 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.92 |
2.98 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.92 |
2.88 |
2.44 |
|
 |
2.85 |
3 |
2.4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.89 ↑ (2.87) |
2.9 ↓ (3) |
2.44 ↑ (2.43) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Zarautz KE 31.4% | Draw 31.4% | Zamudio 37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Zamudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Zarautz KE - Zamudio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).Zarautz has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).Zamudio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;