Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Pasaia		Zamudio

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.98	3.3
	2.17	3.04	3.39
	2.11	3.29	3.30	Watch
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	2.13	3.02	3.33
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pasaia
42.7%

Draw
30%

Zamudio
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Zamudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Pasaia - Zamudio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Pascual A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Pasaia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zamudio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pasaia could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.11.25	Santurtzi - Pasaia	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Pasaia - Real Sociedad C	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pasaia - Zarautz KE	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	Pasaia - Deusto	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Portugalete - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTLLW
- Zamudio SD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Zamudio - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Deusto - Zamudio	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Zamudio - Portugalete	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	San Ignacio - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Zamudio - Derio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Pasaia - Zamudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide