Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Zarya		Rostov 2

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.34	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 (4.75)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarya
19.1%

Draw
27.2%

Rostov 2
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.5%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

27.1%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Zarya have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Rostov 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarya than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Zarya - Rostov 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Titarenko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', 1 - 1, Alimov M. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Shermatov R. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Rostov 2 is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rostov 2	27	16	6	5	50:24	26	54
10	Lugansk	27	8	6	13	36:38	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarya Rostov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Zarya - Chayka 2	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Zarya	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zarya - Kyzyltash	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nart Cherkessk - Zarya	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Zarya - Druzhba Maykop	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLTTT
- FC Rostov 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - Rostov 2	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzyltash - Rostov 2	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Rostov 2 - Rubin Yalta	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Druzhba Maykop - Rostov 2	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Rostov 2 - Nart Cherkessk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWL

Zarya - Rostov 2