Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 17

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Cartusia Kartuzy

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.35	6.5
	1.37	4.59	6.43
	1.60	3.77	4.95	Watch
	1.44	4.62	5.87	Watch
	1.62	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.75)	4.27 ↑ (3.73)	5.55 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
61.9%

Draw
21.5%

Cartusia Kartuzy
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

23.9%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

22.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zawisza Bydgoszcz's performance.

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartusia Kartuzy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zawisza Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zawisza Bydgoszcz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartusia Kartuzy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Cartusia Kartuzy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rak S. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Kozlowski F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
86', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 3.

Zawisza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cartusia Kartuzy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Zawisza is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zawisza won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zawisza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Luzino - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lech Poznań 2	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Wikielec	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.10.25	Wda Świecie - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWT
- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.11.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Flota Świnoujście	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Luzino	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Kluczevia Stargard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:3
20.09.24	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:1
30.03.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:0
02.09.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:2
06.05.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0
30.09.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:2

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