Match Info

Division 2 - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium (Bydgoszcz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zawisza Bydgoszcz		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.70
	1.75	3.5	3.7
	1.85	3.81	3.82
	1.8	3.93	3.87	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.75
	1.81	3.87	3.87	Watch
	1.76	3.6	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.06)	3.72 ↑ (3.17)	3.77 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zawisza Bydgoszcz
51.1%

Draw
24.6%

Lechia Zielona Góra
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zawisza Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zawisza Bydgoszcz's performance.

Lechia Zielona Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oczkowski M. (G) 8. Bogusiewicz K. 4. Golak S. 13. Juskiewicz J. 6. Kanach R. 10. Kona M. (C) 9. Kozlowski F. 23. Nowak K. 24. Staniak M. 17. Stepien M. 21. Szumilas W.	26. Bursztyn J. (G) 7. Bargiel P. 17. Debski D. 33. Flis P. 4. Kurowski I. 13. Lizakowski K. 8. Nahrebecki W. 28. Rutkowski B. 24. Szmigiel M. 75. Wiecek D. 27. Ziarkowski T.
Substitutes
77. Cywinski M. 2. Dziarkowski M. . Kalitta M. 27. Kusmierczyk B. . Mas M. 11. Rak S. . Slawek M. . Strzyzewski M. . Wojciechowski T. (G)	22. Aleksandrowicz M. 19. Kurek M. 77. Lisowski M. 5. Majchrzak F. 10. Mycan P. 9. Olek K. 3. Ostrowski R. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 21. Zientarski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Kona M. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Oczkowski M. 🟨,
39', Bargiel P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Kozlowski F. ⚽,
58', Bargiel P. ↓, Lisowski M. ↑,
60', Kona M. 🟨,
63', Kona M. ↓, Cywinski M. ↑,
64', Nahrebecki W. ↓, Olek K. ↑,
64', Ziarkowski T. ↓, Majchrzak F. ↑,
64', Debski D. ↓, Kurek M. ↑,
65', Stepien M. 🟨,
67', Stepien M. ↓, Rak S. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Rutkowski B. ⚽,
72', Lizakowski K. ↓, Zientarski M. ↑,
76', Nowak K. ↓, Dziarkowski M. ↑,
76', Kozlowski F. ↓, Kalitta M. ↑,
76', Bogusiewicz K. ↓, Kusmierczyk B. ↑,
82', Rak S. 🟨,
90', Rutkowski B. 🟨,
90+2', Zientarski M. 🟨,
90+4', Cywinski M. 🟨,

Preview

Zawisza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zielona Góra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zawisza has had a series of home games.

Zawisza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zawisza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Zawisza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Zawisza: 3.26% Zielona Gora: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Zawisza	10	4	4	2	17:13	4	16
7	Zielona Gora	10	4	3	3	20:16	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Polish Division 2
08.08.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Resovia Rzeszów	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Sokół Kleczew	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTWW
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 2
08.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Sokół Kleczew	6:1 ✺
01.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Chrobry Głogów - Lechia Zielona Góra	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group III
30.05.26	Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:0

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