Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Polkowice		Lechia Zielona Góra

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.05	2.32
	2.85	3.2	2.23
	2.97	2.97	2.39
	2.8	2.9	2.3
	2.88	3.16	2.28	Watch
	2.33	3.34	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.33)	3.1 ↓ (3.34)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polkowice
32.5%

Draw
29%

Lechia Zielona Góra
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.5%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polkowice's form might have worsened.

Lechia Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polkowice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Debski D. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Bargiel P. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Nagrodzki M. ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Polkowice is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zielona Góra is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zielona Góra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polkowice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Polkowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Polkowice	11	4	3	4	19:18	1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
22.05.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Polkowice	6:0 ✺
17.05.26	Polkowice - Kluczbork	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Pniówek Pawłowice - Polkowice	0:7 ✺
01.05.26	Polkowice - Ślęza Wrocław	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Carina Gubin - Polkowice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Lechia Zielona Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Starowice Dolne	5:1 ✺
13.05.26	Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Pniówek Pawłowice	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Lechia Zielona Góra	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
15.11.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	5:0
10.05.25	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	0:1
12.10.24	Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:1
18.05.24	Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra	2:0
29.10.23	Lechia Zielona Góra - Polkowice	0:1

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