Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: ShipEx Aréna (Brno) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vokoun D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Zbrojovka Brno		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.60
	2.45	3.35	2.75
	2.69	3.33	2.76
	2.56	3.36	2.66	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.70
	2.60	3.33	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.49)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)	2.68 (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zbrojovka Brno
36.5%

Draw
28.5%

Jablonec
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zbrojovka Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zbrojovka Brno than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zbrojovka Brno will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Jablonec will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Zbrojovka Brno (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zbrojovka Brno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hrdina A. (G) 39. Klima J. (C) 38. Pokorny J. 3. Kaka 6. Penxa L. 8. Cavos P. 17. Zmrhal J. 44. Dante A. 10. Vanicek A. 15. Vasulin D. 79. Soliu A.	1. Hanus J. (G) 18. Cedidla M. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 15. Pavlovic D. 7. Chanturishvili V. 13. Sedlacek R. 25. Nebyla S. 23. Sobol E. 24. Holly D. 44. Jawo L. 36. Kuol G.
Substitutes
77. Ezeh L. 18. Granecny D. 4. Hunal E. 68. Janetzky J. 19. Kanakimana B. 7. Langer S. 78. Prodelal O. (G) 11. Rymarenko M. 23. Sevcik P. 14. Vachousek T. 26. Vedral F.	16. Ahl H. 17. Alioum S. 19. Chramosta J. 33. Kukucka M. (G) 57. Novak F. 6. Okeke N. 21. Polidar M. 9. Rusek A. 14. Soucek D. 27. Vecheta F. 8. Zorvan F.
Coaches
Svedik M.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Dante A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Soliu A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
65', Vasulin D. ↓, Vachousek T. ↑,
65', Cavos P. ↓, Langer S. ↑,
68', Langer S. 🟨,
68', Holly D. 🟨,
70', Holly D. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
70', Kuol G. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
78', Vanicek A. ↓, Rymarenko M. ↑,
84', Nebyla S. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Rusek A. ⚽, Alioum S. (A),
87', Zmrhal J. ↓, Vedral F. ↑,
90+5', Jawo L. ↓, Novak F. ↑,
90+5', Chanturishvili V. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Chance Liga (7th - 10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zbrojovka Brno won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Zbrojovka Brno could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Zbrojovka Brno: Juroska J. (Injury) Vecera F. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Jablonec: Mihelak K. (Injury) Milla K. (Broken Leg).

Doubtful / questionable for Jablonec: Suchan J. (Health problems).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Zbrojovka Brno has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:32 (averaging 0.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zbrojovka Brno against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 9:19 goals (averaging 1:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jablonec	12	6	2	4	16:13	3	20
7	Brno	12	6	2	4	16:16	0	20

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Brno: 1.43% Jablonec: 1.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Zbrojovka Brno - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Jablonec - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zbrojovka Brno
Czech 1 Liga
19.09.26	Mladá Boleslav - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
16.09.26	Králův Dvůr - Zbrojovka Brno	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
12.09.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Artis Brno	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Slavia Prague - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
02.09.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Hradec Králové	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- FK Jablonec
Czech Cup
02.10.26	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.26	Jablonec - Zlín	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Jablonec - Slovan Liberec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
21.05.23	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	1:0
19.03.23	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	1:2
02.10.22	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	3:1
14.03.21	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	1:2
06.11.20	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	0:1
Czech Cup
01.10.19	Jablonec - Zbrojovka Brno	3:2
Czech 1 Liga
05.05.18	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	0:3

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