The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jablonec 51.2%
Draw 26%
Baník Ostrava 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
28%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.2%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jablonec's performance.
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jablonec that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.3%
6.7%
0%
Jablonec - Baník Ostrava Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Jablonec will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 80.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1X2 - FK Jablonec (1.95) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Mihelak K. (G) 15. Pavlovic D. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 7. Chanturishvili V. 25. Nebyla S. 13. Sedlacek R. 21. Polidar M. 24. Holly D. 17. Alioum S. 9. Rusek A.
23. Jedlicka M. (C) 44. Skyba Y. 37. Chalus M. 42. Micek J. 34. Bewene A. 5. Boula J. 8. Traore A. 95. Holzer D. 7. Gilbert D. 28. Kubala F. 15. Jurecka V.
Substitutes
16. Ahl H. 18. Cedidla M. 19. Chramosta J. 1. Hanus J. (G) 44. Jawo L. 6. Okeke N. 20. Slama J. 23. Sobol E. 14. Soucek D. 27. Vecheta F. 8. Zorvan F.
1. Budinsky V. (G) 16. Dyachuk M. 17. Frydrych M. 81. Kmet M. 55. Musak A. 83. Nogha R. 19. Sancl F. 22. Skrkon V.
Coaches
Kozel L.
Skuhravy R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Micek J. 🟨,
33', Alioum S. 🟨,
41', Mihelak K. ↓, Hanus J. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Novak F. ⚽, Sedlacek R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Chalus M. 🟥,
52', Jedlicka M. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Rusek A. ⚽, Polidar M. (A),
56', Holzer D. ↓, Nogha R. ↑,
62', Kubala F. ↓, Skrkon V. ↑,
62', Gilbert D. ↓, Kmet M. ↑,
62', Jurecka V. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Polidar M. ⚽, Holly D. (A),
72', Micek J. ↓, Dyachuk M. ↑,
73', Alioum S. ↓, Ahl H. ↑,
73', Holly D. ↓, Jawo L. ↑,
81', Novak F. ↓, Sobol E. ↑,
82', Sedlacek R. ↓, Zorvan F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 4.
Jablonec is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Baník Ostrava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Baník Ostrava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Jablonec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jablonec won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jablonec won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 1.9:0.8).
Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now
Jablonec: 1.02% Ostrava: 0.67%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Jablonec
10
5
2
3
12:9
3
17
12
Ostrava
10
3
1
6
7:18
-11
10
Last Results with these Odds
Baník Ostrava - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Czech-republic
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Mihelak K. (G) 
Pavlovic D. 
Novak F. 
Chanturishvili V. 
Nebyla S. 
Alioum S. 
Skyba Y. 
Bewene A. 
Traore A. 
Gilbert D. 
Ahl H. 
Jawo L. 
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