Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Smena Stadium (Saint Petersburg)


	Zenit 2		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.2	5.5
	1.42	4.65	6.77
	1.33	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.22 ↓ (4.5)	5.87 ↓ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit 2
64.1%

Draw
20.9%

Chertanovo
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Zenit 2 - Chertanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Shichanin M. (G) 85. Chernov S. 45. Glazunov K. 52. Ivanov T. 39. Khokhlov M. 57. Lobov N. 87. Nikiforov S. 46. Obonin K. 86. Pshennikov E. 92. Shilenok I. 83. Stolbov K.	31. Pereverzev M. (G) 42. Khomyakov A. 21. Kondrashov D. 26. Korbut V. 45. Nikiema Y. 2. Polyakov I. 44. Rusyaev I. 17. Semenov S. 10. Semenov V. 9. Urvantsev M. 7. Yakimenko M.
Substitutes
81. Bazilevskiy N. 80. Bulygin I. 63. Karelin S. 40. Kasheev G. 76. Kolmakov R. 61. Kondakov D. 95. Korolev G. (G) 47. Lukinykh E. 51. Shilov V. 70. Vershinin N.	15. Agafontsev V. 97. Borisov G. 27. Mikadze G. 30. Osipov A. (G) 91. Pomalyuk A. 4. Svetnikov M. 11. Svetov Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Rusyaev I. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Nikiforov S. ⚽,
19', Polyakov I. ↓, Agafontsev V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Korbut V. ↓, Svetov Z. ↑,
46', Yakimenko M. ↓, Pomalyuk A. ↑,
46', Nikiforov S. ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
46', Glazunov K. ↓, Vershinin N. ↑,
73', Pshennikov E. ↓, Shilov V. ↑,
78', Khomyakov A. ↓, Borisov G. ↑,
81', Ivanov T. ↓, Kolmakov R. ↑,
83', Obonin K. 🟨,
89', Khokhlov M. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
90+3', Khokhlov M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit 2 won 3.

Zenit 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chertanovo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Chertanovo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zenit 2 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zenit 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit 2 St Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
17.05.25	Cherepovets - Zenit 2	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Zenit 2 - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Zenit 2	2:4 ✺
27.04.25	Zenit 2 - Yenisey 2	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Baltika 2 - Zenit 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTW
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
18.05.25	Chertanovo - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Dynamo Vologda - Chertanovo	5:0 ✺
04.05.25	Chertanovo - Irkutsk	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Chertanovo - Cherepovets	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Chertanovo - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.08.24	Zenit 2 - Chertanovo	2:0
28.04.24	Chertanovo - Zenit 2	3:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
08.05.22	Zenit 2 - Chertanovo	3:2
04.04.22	Chertanovo - Zenit 2	0:8
Russian FNL
04.11.18	Chertanovo - Zenit 2	4:0
22.07.18	Zenit 2 - Chertanovo	1:2

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