The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chertanovo 59.7%
Draw 22.7%
Kosmos Dolgoprudny 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
22.9%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
21.2%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Kosmos Dolgoprudny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kosmos Dolgoprudny than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Chertanovo - Kosmos Dolgoprudny Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Naumov M. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Mikadze G. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Kavtrev E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 3 - 1, Melnikov M. ⚽,
67', 3 - 2, Kurbanaliev A. ⚽,
77', (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 4 - 2, Shumilov S. ⚽,
Preview
Chertanovo arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Kosmos have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chertanovo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Chertanovo is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Chertanovo in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Chertanovo has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chertanovo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
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