Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: FIRST DIVISION - ROUND 6

Date: 9 May 2023, Tuesday


	Zhenis		Jas Qyran

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.25
	1.47	4.5	5.45
	1.54	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2.4)	4.2 ↑ (3.6)	5.1 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
60.7%

Draw
21.6%

Jas Qyran
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhenis's performance.

Jas Qyran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jas Qyran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhenis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jas Qyran than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jas Qyran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Zhenis - Jas Qyran Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zhenis will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhenis: 83.8% – 100%.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 13).

Recent matches Zhenis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jas Qyran is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Zhenis is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh First League
05.05.23	Astana 2 - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
27.04.23	Zhenis - Akzhayik	2:1 ✺
21.04.23	Kairat 2 - Zhenis	4:1 ✺
14.04.23	Zhenis - Arys	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Akademiya Ontustik - Zhenis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLLW
- FO Jas Qyran
Kazakh First League
04.05.23	Jas Qyran - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
28.04.23	Batyr Ekibastuz - Jas Qyran	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Jas Qyran - Yelimay Semey	0:2 ✺
13.04.23	Aktobe 2 - Jas Qyran	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Jas Qyran - Turkistan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLLL

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