Match Info

Kazakhstan Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zhenis		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.30
	2.12	3.10	3.05	Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.64
	2.27	3.09	3.27	Watch
	1.96	2.95	3.60
	2.02	3.08	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.22)	3.1 ↓ (3.29)	3.41 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
44%

Draw
29.3%

Kaisar
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

27%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+5%)

Zhenis - Kaisar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 14. Saulet A. 5. Tevzadze Z. 13. Tursynbay S. 63. Saravanja I. 10. Imnadze L. 7. Kuat I. (C) 88. Martins G. 19. Adilio 11. Filipovic A. 93. Elder Santana	40. Kovac A. (G) 5. Kenesbek A. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 12. Sovet S. 6. Kaldybekov E. 42. Miqueias 13. Zhaksylyk N. 11. Moses V. (C) 70. Ezekiel I. 10. Agostinho
Substitutes
16. Abuov T. (G) 17. Adilov A. 94. Arystanov N. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 4. Bystrov M. 8. Khaseyn M. 18. Madelkhan B. 98. Marat A. 22. Masudov S. 9. Naumets V. 1. Sotnik I. (G)	9. Agzambaev N. 93. Askarov S. 29. Bagdat R. 14. Gustavo Zago 15. Idrisov N. 47. Konlimkos B. 96. Mukhammed A. 2. Redzhepov T. 1. Salaydin N. (G) 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S.
Coaches
Sliskovic V.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Tevzadze Z. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Martins G. ⚽, Kuat I. (A),
23', Sovet S. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Filipovic A. ⚽, Imnadze L. (A),
27', Tevzadze Z. 🟨,
31', Imnadze L. ↓, Khaseyn M. ↑,
33', Sovet S. ↓, Askarov S. ↑,
33', Bukorac S. 🟨,
42', Moses V. 🟨,
45+4', Kaldybekov E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ezekiel I. ↓, Gustavo Zago ↑,
62', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
62', Agostinho ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Miqueias ⚽, Zhumabekov S. (A),
71', Adilio ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
74', Askarov S. 🟨,
75', 3 - 1, Filipovic A. ⚽,
78', Zhaksylyk N. ↓, Konlimkos B. ↑,
83', Filipovic A. ↓, Madelkhan B. ↑,
87', Madelkhan B. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Bagdat R. ⚽,
90+3', Elder Santana 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Zhenis - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
02.08.26	Zhenis - Yelimay Semey	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhenis	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLT
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
15.08.26	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
29.07.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	3:1
Kazakh Premier League
08.03.26	Kaisar - Zhenis	1:1
26.10.25	Zhenis - Kaisar	2:2
02.03.25	Kaisar - Zhenis	0:0
14.09.24	Zhenis - Kaisar	1:0
Kazakh League Cup
06.07.24	Kaisar - Zhenis	0:1
Kazakh Premier League
18.05.24	Kaisar - Zhenis	1:0

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