Match Info

First League - Round 14

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Zhetisay

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.35	7.3
	2.56	3.65	2.36	Watch
	1.27	5.4	7.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.29)	4.8 ↓ (5.48)	5.84 ↓ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
60.8%

Draw
21.5%

Zhetisay
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

16.6%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaspiy Aktau's form might have worsened.

Zhetisay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Pasechenko A. (G) 70. Abdulla N. 10. Baytana B. 7. Kabylan B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 47. Konlimkos B. 22. Kurbanov T. 13. Serikbay M. 17. Shamshi S. 5. Taipov K. 71. Turlybek M.	5. Bastar I. 6. Bazarbay E. 33. Dandybaev N. 21. Ermekuulu A. 12. Imanali M. 17. Kulmaganbetov A. 27. Mukhambetzanuly M. 3. Orynbasar O. 19. Rakhmetov M. 70. Ryskul B. 4. Sarbay E.
Substitutes
21. Aripov D. 9. Armenov A. 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 23. Kozhamberdy Z. 18. Kulakhmetov S. 12. Mukhanov O. (G) 11. Nurgaliyev E. 28. Oralbay E. 8. Raskatov V. 6. Shakhmetov M. 50. Zholaman M. 48. Zhumabay E.	8. Asatulla A. 10. Baurzhan M. 24. Karzhau A. 7. Madelkhan B. 2. Mazhitov D. 79. Sarsenbek B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Dandybaev N. ⚽, Ryskul B. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Turlybek M. ⚽,
14', 1 - 2, Kulmaganbetov A. ⚽, Rakhmetov M. (A),
26', Baytana B. 🟨,
30', Konlimkos B. 🟨,
33', Bastar I. ↓, Mazhitov D. ↑,
43', Abdulla N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kulmaganbetov A. ↓, Madelkhan B. ↑,
49', Ermekuulu A. 🟨,
56', Shamshi S. ↓, Raskatov V. ↑,
59', Ryskul B. 🟨,
59', Madelkhan B. 🟨,
60', Taipov K. 🟨,
60', Serikbay M. ↓, Kozhamberdy Z. ↑,
61', Abdulla N. ↓, Zhumabay E. ↑,
74', Ermekuulu A. ↓, Amirbek N. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Turlybek M. ⚽, Konlimkos B. (A),
79', Kabylan B. ↓, Armenov A. ↑,
79', Turlybek M. ↓, Oralbay E. ↑,
83', Rakhmetov M. 🟨,
84', Dandybaev N. ↓, Baurzhan M. ↑,
85', Rakhmetov M. ↓, Sarsenbek B. ↑,
90+2', Imanali M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).

Kaspiy Aktau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kaspiy Aktau is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaspiy Aktau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Kaspiy Aktau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh First League
11.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:3 ✺
26.06.25	Aktobe 2 - Kaspiy Aktau	0:3 ✺
20.06.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Batyr Ekibastuz	5:3 ✺
13.06.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaspiy Aktau	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW
- Zhetisay FC
Kazakh First League
11.07.25	Zhetisay - Akademiya Ontustik	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Altai Semey - Zhetisay	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Zhetisay - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Kairat 2 - Zhetisay	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
17.04.25	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:1
22.08.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetisay	2:0
10.05.24	Zhetisay - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0

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