Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stade de Marrakech (Marrakech)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Cameroon	Canal 2 International
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	MATV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mali	ORTM
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SABC Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Zimbabwe	ZBC TV


	Zimbabwe		South Africa

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.5	1.67	Watch
	5.05	3.65	1.72	Watch
	5.98	3.62	1.66	Watch
	5.5	3.25	1.67
	6.16	3.52	1.65	Watch
	6	3.5	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↓ (8.56)	3.51 ↓ (4.05)	1.67 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zimbabwe
16.5%

Draw
26.9%

South Africa
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

23.4%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zimbabwe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zimbabwe's performance.

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.5%	15%	77.5%

Zimbabwe - South Africa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Zimbabwe (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: South Africa will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): South Africa will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Zimbabwe (votes: 1 - 9.1%). South Africa (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Arubi W. (G) Marumo Gallants 2. Takwara G. Al Ittihad Misurata 4. Garananga M. FC Copenhagen 5. Lunga D. Mamelodi Sundowns 8. Fabisch J. Aue 12. Antonio B. KV Mechelen 18. Nakamba M. (C) Luton 13. Galloway B. Plymouth 14. Msendami D. Marumo Gallants 7. Dube P. Young Africans 19. Maswanhise T. Motherwell	1. Williams R. (C) Mamelodi Sundowns 20. Mudau K. Mamelodi Sundowns 21. Ngezana S. FCSB 14. Mbokazi M. Orlando Pirates 6. Modiba A. Mamelodi Sundowns 4. Mokoena T. Mamelodi Sundowns 13. Sithole S. Tondela 8. Moremi T. Orlando Pirates 17. Mbule S. Orlando Pirates 7. Appollis O. Orlando Pirates 9. Foster L. Burnley
Substitutes
9. Bonne M. Maldon & Tiptree 28. Chakuchichi T. Scottland 1. Chipezeze E. (G) Magesi 20. Chirewa T. Wolves 3. Fusire S. Sheffield Wed 23. Jalai E. Dynamos 16. Mapisa M. (G) 24. Mauchi I. Simba Bhora 25. Mudimu A. Flint Town 21. Murwira G. Scottland 11. Navaya W. TelOne 6. Padera P. SJK 26. Wadi I. CAPS Utd 27. Zindoga J. TS Galaxy	15. Aubaas B. J. Mamelodi Sundowns 24. Campbell S. Club Brugge 16. Chaine S. (G) Orlando Pirates 22. Goss R. (G) Siwelele 18. Kabini S. Molde 23. Makgopa E. Orlando Pirates 25. Matuludi T. Polokwane City 5. Mbatha T. Orlando Pirates 10. Mofokeng R. Orlando Pirates 12. Mokwana E. Al Hazem Rass 3. Ndamane K. TS Galaxy 11. Nkota M. Al Ettifaq FC 19. Sibisi N. Orlando Pirates 2. Smith T. QPR
Coaches
Marinica M.	Broos H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Moremi T. ⚽, Foster L. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Fabisch J. (A),
34', Mbule S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sithole S. ↓, Aubaas B. J. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Foster L. ⚽,
59', Msendami D. ↓, Chirewa T. ↑,
59', Antonio B. ↓, Zindoga J. ↑,
60', Dube P. ↓, Bonne M. ↑,
73', Foster L. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Modiba A. (Own goal),
75', Garananga M. ↓, Jalai E. ↑,
76', Moremi T. ↓, Nkota M. ↑,
81', Nakamba M. 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Appollis O. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Mbule S. ↓, Mbatha T. ↑,
88', Fabisch J. ↓, Chakuchichi T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zimbabwe won 0.

Zimbabwe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, South Africa is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Zimbabwe: Rinomhota A. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Zimbabwe: Garananga M. (Thigh Injury) Hadebe T. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zimbabwe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zimbabwe
Africa Cup of Nations
26.12.25	Angola - Zimbabwe	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Egypt - Zimbabwe	2:1 ✺
Friendly
17.11.25	Qatar - Zimbabwe	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Algeria - Zimbabwe	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.10.25	Lesotho - Zimbabwe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWLL
- South Africa
Africa Cup of Nations
26.12.25	Egypt - South Africa	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	South Africa - Angola	2:1 ✺
Friendly
16.12.25	South Africa - Ghana B	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	South Africa - Zambia	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	South Africa - Rwanda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.25	Zimbabwe - South Africa	0:0
COSAFA Cup
07.06.25	South Africa - Zimbabwe	2:0
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	South Africa - Zimbabwe	3:1
Africa Cup of Nations
13.06.22	South Africa - Zimbabwe	Canceled
FIFA World Cup
11.11.21	South Africa - Zimbabwe	1:0
03.09.21	Zimbabwe - South Africa	0:0
Friendly
10.09.13	South Africa - Zimbabwe	1:2

Zimbabwe - South Africa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide