The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zimbru Chişinău 54%
Draw 25.3%
Milsami Orhei 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.1%
22.2%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
21.4%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zimbru Chişinău has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zimbru Chişinău's form might have worsened.
Milsami Orhei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zimbru Chişinău than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zimbru Chişinău, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milsami Orhei, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Dokic I. (G) 73. Bitca S. 7. Caio Dantas 24. Ceijas T. 4. Gonta C. 18. Gutium A. 11. Jonathas 23. Marcello 20. Raileanu V. 14. Rosario R. 35. Zolotov N.
31. Dujmovic F. (G) 4. Angelov A. 11. Chele S. 22. Ghecev M. 10. Ginsari R. 21. Izountouemoi S. 5. Nwaeze C. 14. Odubia P. 2. Posmac V. 15. Sirbu D. 30. Takyi F.
Substitutes
3. Berkeley K. 99. Betivu A. 22. Bonnah A. 17. Butucel T. 10. Cociuc E. 77. Cojocari S. 6. Dias P. 2. Negru I. 71. Obrejan M. 1. Rusu D. (G) 92. Sirghi C. (G)
29. Asmelash H. 17. Bulmaga L. 1. Ciochina C. 9. Dudziak K. 13. Luchita V. 25. Sejdija A. 35. Vornic D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gonta C. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Odubia P. ⚽,
64', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Jonathas ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Betivu A. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Sejdija A. ⚽,
90+1', Ginsari R. 🟥,
90+1', 🟨,
90+8', 4 - 2, Caio Dantas ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
Zimbru is Qualified for Super Liga (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zimbru won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Milsami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Milsami has had a series of home games.
In this match, Zimbru is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zimbru won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Zimbru won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).
Usa
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Dokic I. (G) 
Bitca S. 
Caio Dantas 
Ceijas T. 
Rosario R. 
Zolotov N. 
Dujmovic F. (G) 
Angelov A. 
Izountouemoi S. 
Nwaeze C. 
Takyi F. 
Berkeley K. 
Asmelash H. 
Dudziak K. 
Sejdija A. 
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