Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Complexul Sportiv Raional (Orhei)

Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Moldova	Moldova 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Milsami Orhei		Velež Mostar

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.90	2.90	Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.00
	2.20	3.20	3.20	Watch
	2.46	2.99	3.28
	3.98	1.71	4.26	Watch
	2.40	2.55	3.20
	2.36	3.18	3.18	Watch
	2.33	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.24)	2.81 ↓ (3.13)	3.28 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milsami Orhei
37.5%

Draw
33.7%

Velež Mostar
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milsami Orhei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Velež Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Milsami Orhei - Velež Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Milsami will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Velež Mostar will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milsami (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Velež Mostar (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Milsami (votes: 1 - 50%). Velež Mostar (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dujmovic F. (C) 29. Asmelash H. 4. Angelov A. 34. Decio Neto 24. Muringen D. 30. Takyi F. 33. Fonkeu W. 5. Nwaeze C. 11. Chele S. 14. Odubia P. 28. Kalabatama K.	1. Ribic F. (G) 7. Nukic A. 13. Omerovic A. 8. Hrkac A. (C) 18. Duranovic S. 11. Mesic A. 6. Abdullah R. 29. Babic A. 80. Stojanovic N. 9. Spahic A. 10. Salcin D.
Substitutes
17. Bulmaga L. 10. Ginsari R. 21. Izountouemoi S. 13. Luchita V. 7. Silcenco C. 15. Sirbu D. 35. Vornic D. (G)	55. Bajric A. 83. Besic M. 20. Halilovic D. 88. Ignatov L. 22. Mataradzic E. 21. Pajevic A. 38. Puce D. 66. Setic F. 17. Shhade A.
Coaches
Savinov A.	Rahimic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Mesic A. 🟨,
40', Asmelash H. 🟨,
43', Decio Neto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Fonkeu W. 🟨,
63', Chele S. ↓, Luchita V. ↑,
66', Luchita V. 🟨,
75', Odubia P. ↓, Izountouemoi S. ↑,
76', Salcin D. ↓, Besic M. ↑,
80', Luchita V. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Mesic A. ⚽, Spahic A. (A),
83', Spahic A. 🟨,
85', Hrkac A. 🟨,
86', Muringen D. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
86', Angelov A. ↓, Silcenco C. ↑,
90+4', Ginsari R. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Milsami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Velež Mostar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Milsami will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Milsami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milsami Orhei
Moldovan Super Liga
12.07.26	Milsami Orhei - Dacia Buiucani	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Velež Mostar - Milsami Orhei	1:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
04.07.26	Petrocub-Hîncești - Milsami Orhei	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Milsami Orhei - Zimbru Chişinău	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLTT
- Velež Mostar
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Velež Mostar - Milsami Orhei	1:1 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
26.05.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Velež Mostar	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	2:3 ✺
16.05.26	Velež Mostar - Rudar Prijedor	4:2 ✺
Bosnian Cup
13.05.26	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Velež Mostar - Milsami Orhei	1:1

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