Match Info

SLOVAKIA: Nike liga - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Štadión FC ViOn (Zlaté Moravce)

Referee: Benedik B. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Voyo


	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable		Skalica

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	2.9	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.96	3.25	2.41
	2.99	3.29	2.43
	2.8	3.2	2.25
	2.9	3.27	2.33	Watch
	2.88	3.2	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.65)	3.24 ↑ (3.08)	2.35 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
32.1%

Draw
28.6%

Skalica
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

31.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Skalica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skalica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlaté Moravce-Vrable than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skalica than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skalica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zlaté Moravce Vrable - Skalica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Richter P. (G) 22. Sula S. 6. Gono M. 25. Nagy R. 5. Jinjolava J. 14. Duga D. (C) 16. Mondek K. 29. Brenkus A. 19. Nonikashvili L. 9. Svec M. 21. Kuzma M.	39. Junas M. (G) 37. Krcik A. 4. Hradecky M. 20. Podhorin O. 3. Cernek M. 18. Nagy M. (C) 19. Masik M. 9. Morong A. 8. Davi Alves 16. Matejov R. 11. Smekal D.
Substitutes
45. Balaj F. 99. Balic A. 18. Chropovsky M. (G) 90. Conka M. 1. Lukac P. (G) 2. Majdan V. 39. Mosko M. 7. Tabatadze I.	17. Baumgartner D. 25. Gazi A. 1. Luksch M. (G) 5. Ranko M. 34. Sobczyk A. 10. Vlasko J. 7. Yao Y.
Coaches
Uhrin D. ml.	Majernik P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kuzma M. ⚽, Mondek K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matejov R. ↓, Baumgartner D. ↑,
46', Morong A. ↓, Gazi A. ↑,
57', Brenkus A. 🟨,
62', Svec M. ↓, Conka M. ↑,
71', Smekal D. ↓, Sobczyk A. ↑,
71', Davi Alves ↓, Vlasko J. ↑,
73', Brenkus A. ↓, Tabatadze I. ↑,
78', Nagy M. ↓, Ranko M. ↑,
90', Nonikashvili L. ↓, Balic A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zlaté Moravce won 1.

Zlaté Moravce is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Skalica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Zlaté Moravce won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Zlaté Moravce won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
Slovak Superliga
27.04.24	MFK Košice - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Dukla Banská Bystrica	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - MFK Košice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLL
- MFK Skalica
Slovak Superliga
27.04.24	Skalica - Trenčín	0:4 ✺
20.04.24	Zemplín Michalovce - Skalica	1:3 ✺
13.04.24	MFK Košice - Skalica	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Skalica - Zemplín Michalovce	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
06.04.24	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1
Czech Tipsport Liga
20.01.24	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:1
Slovak Superliga
28.10.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Skalica	0:1
29.07.23	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	2:0
22.04.23	Skalica - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	0:1
31.03.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Skalica	0:0
Czech Tipsport Liga
30.11.22	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Skalica	1:0

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