Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday


	Zlatibor Čajetina		Novi Pazar

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.72
	4.1	3.45	1.77
	4.39	3.62	1.78
	4.2	3.25	1.8
	4.25	3.48	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.75)	3.44 ↑ (3.33)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlatibor Čajetina
21.4%

Draw
26.7%

Novi Pazar
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.4%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

22.3%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlatibor Čajetina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlatibor Čajetina than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zlatibor Čajetina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Pazar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	4%	80%

Zlatibor Čajetina - Novi Pazar Predictions

Users Predictions: Novi Pazar will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 16 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga).

Zlatibor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Novi Pazar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Novi Pazar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zlatibor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Zlatibor Čajetina
Serbian Superliga
18.04.21	Zlatibor Čajetina - Rad	1:2 ✺
12.04.21	Vojvodina - Zlatibor Čajetina	2:1 ✺
08.04.21	Zlatibor Čajetina - Inđija	2:2 ✺
03.04.21	Radnik Surdulica - Zlatibor Čajetina	2:1 ✺
20.03.21	Zlatibor Čajetina - Javor Ivanjica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL
- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
18.04.21	Novi Pazar - Čukarički	1:3 ✺
12.04.21	Rad - Novi Pazar	3:2 ✺
06.04.21	Novi Pazar - Bačka Topola	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Vojvodina - Novi Pazar	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Novi Pazar - Proleter Novi Sad	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
07.11.20	Novi Pazar - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:2
Serbian Prva Liga
03.03.19	Novi Pazar - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:0

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