Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Zlatibor Čajetina		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.1
	3	3.25	2.2
	3.15	3.25	2.13
	3.19	3.47	2.19
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.06	3.32	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.53)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)	2.15 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlatibor Čajetina
29.4%

Draw
27.9%

Radnik Surdulica
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

20.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlatibor Čajetina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zlatibor Čajetina's form might have worsened.

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radnik Surdulica's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlatibor Čajetina than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zlatibor Čajetina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	8%	84%

Zlatibor Čajetina - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Zlatibor will win (votes: 2 - 8%). Radnik will win (votes: 21 - 84%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnik: 69.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga).

Recent matches Zlatibor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radnik is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zlatibor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zlatibor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Zlatibor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Zlatibor Čajetina
Serbian Superliga
26.09.20	Javor Ivanjica - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Zlatibor Čajetina - Partizan	0:1 ✺
13.09.20	Napredak Kruševac - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Zlatibor Čajetina - Mladost Lučani	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Voždovac - Zlatibor Čajetina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TLTWT
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
26.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	4:2 ✺
18.09.20	Vojvodina - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Inđija	0:2 ✺
29.08.20	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
22.08.20	Javor Ivanjica - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.19	Zlatibor Čajetina - Radnik Surdulica	3:4

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