Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Letna (Zlin)

Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Zlín		Pardubice

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.35	Watch
	2.11	3.3	3.66
	1.90	3.48	3.67	Watch
	2.07	3.25	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.9)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	3.49 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlín
45.5%

Draw
27.9%

Pardubice
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

28.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zlín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Zlín - Pardubice Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Dostal S. (G) 23. Kopecny M. 24. Cernin J. 28. Kolar J. 39. Krapka A. 6. Didiba J. 19. Nombil C. 82. Pisoja M. 26. Cupak M. 31. Bartosak L. 88. Poznar T. (C)	1. Serak J. (G) 23. Surzyn M. 44. Bammens S. 3. Lurvink L. 25. Mahuta R. 6. Reznicek J. 26. Simek S. 8. Patrak V. 27. Sychra V. (C) 10. Vecheta F. 28. Tanko A.
Substitutes
1. Belanik S. (G) 30. Branecky L. 22. Fukala M. 91. Kalabiska J. 14. Kanu S. 15. Koubek M. 8. Machalik D. 11. Natchkebia Z. 16. Petruta S. 4. Ulbrich T.	99. Kharatishvili L. (G) 17. Krobot L. 31. Lexa M. 43. Noslin J. 16. Sancl F. 4. Simek D. 9. Smekal D. 24. Solil T. 14. Teah D. 12. Tredl J.
Coaches
Cervenka B.	Trousil J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Didiba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bartosak L. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
46', Krapka A. ↓, Fukala M. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Koubek M. ⚽, Fukala M. (A),
59', 1 - 1, Patrak V. ⚽, Reznicek J. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Pisoja M. ⚽, Cupak M. (A),
67', Vecheta F. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Patrak V. (Pen),
75', Lurvink L. 🟨,
76', Poznar T. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
84', Patrak V. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
84', Reznicek J. ↓, Solil T. ↑,
84', Pisoja M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
86', Sychra V. 🟨,
90+1', Cupak M. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
90+2', Tanko A. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
90+2', Krobot L. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 2.

Zlín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pardubice is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zlín might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Zlín: Bachurek S. (Injury)

There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D. (Convalescence) Darmovzal D. (Injury) Konecny M. (Broken ankle) Masek D. (Injury) Vacek K. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlín
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.25	Slavia Prague - Zlín	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Ústí nad Labem - Zlín	0:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.25	Zlín - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.7 TTWWL
- FK Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.25	Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Pardubice - Karviná	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Pardubice - Baník Ostrava	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Teplice - Pardubice	0:0 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
04.05.24	Pardubice - Zlín	2:0
14.04.24	Zlín - Pardubice	1:1
04.11.23	Pardubice - Zlín	0:1
21.05.23	Pardubice - Zlín	1:2
19.02.23	Pardubice - Zlín	2:1
30.08.22	Zlín - Pardubice	2:1
10.05.22	Pardubice - Zlín	1:1

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