Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Letna (Zlin)

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zlín		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.25	2.15
	3.20	3.25	2.20
	3.10	3.15	2.25	Watch
	3.38	3.43	2.21
	3.24	3.37	2.18	Watch
	3.30	3.35	2.17
	3.23	3.40	2.13	Watch
	3.20	3.30	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.64)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	2.18 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zlín
29%

Draw
28.2%

Baník Ostrava
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zlín's form might have worsened.

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baník Ostrava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zlín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Zlín - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Dostal S. (G) 23. Kopecny M. 24. Cernin J. 35. Kukucka O. 82. Pisoja M. 19. Nombil C. 53. Hellebrand T. 20. Appiah F. 4. Ulbrich T. 31. Bartosak L. (C) 9. Smiga D.	23. Jedlicka M. (C) 44. Skyba Y. 37. Chalus M. 42. Micek J. 34. Bewene A. 55. Musak A. 83. Nogha R. 18. Planka D. 99. Sinyavskiy V. 15. Jurecka V. 12. Gning A.
Substitutes
64. Bachurek S. (G) 26. Cupak M. 13. Dornak F. 37. Fojtu T. 11. Gazi A. 21. Grygera D. 14. Kanu S. 39. Krapka A. 88. Poznar T. 3. Stefan J. 18. Toure M.	9. Buchta D. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 17. Frydrych M. 7. Gilbert D. 95. Holzer D. 81. Kmet M. 28. Kubala F. 6. Pojezny K. 19. Sancl F. 22. Skrkon V. 8. Traore A.
Coaches
Cervenka B.	Skuhravy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Jurecka V. ⚽, Musak A. (A),
65', Smiga D. ↓, Poznar T. ↑,
65', Bartosak L. ↓, Dornak F. ↑,
66', Musak A. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
66', Jurecka V. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
72', Hellebrand T. 🟨,
76', Ulbrich T. ↓, Fojtu T. ↑,
76', Hellebrand T. ↓, Cupak M. ↑,
78', Planka D. ↓, Holzer D. ↑,
78', Gning A. ↓, Skrkon V. ↑,
89', Appiah F. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
90', Bewene A. ↓, Frydrych M. ↑,
90+1', Pisoja M. 🟨,
90+3', Poznar T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1.

Recent performances by Zlín have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baník Ostrava's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of away games.

Baník Ostrava might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Zlín: Fojtu T. (Injury) Jugas J. (Knee Injury) Petruta S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Dyachuk M. (Knee Injury) Grygar S. (Ankle Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Kohut M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:45. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Zlin: 0.8% Ostrava: 0.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ostrava	10	3	1	6	7:18	-11	10
16	Zlin	10	0	1	9	8:20	-12	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zlín
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Zlín	3:1 ✺
15.07.26	Polonia Warsaw - Zlín	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Zlín - Dukla Banská Bystrica	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Zlín - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Trenčín - Zlín	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW
- Baník Ostrava
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Trenčín - Baník Ostrava	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Wisła Płock - Baník Ostrava	2:2 ✺
08.07.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Baník Ostrava	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
16.05.26	Baník Ostrava - Zlín	2:0
08.03.26	Baník Ostrava - Zlín	6:2
05.10.25	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	1:1
03.03.24	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	0:1
Czech Cup
01.11.23	Baník Ostrava - Zlín	0:1
Czech 1 Liga
23.09.23	Baník Ostrava - Zlín	5:1
24.05.23	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	2:1

Upcoming Matches