The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zorya Luhansk 18.5%
Draw 22.8%
Dynamo Kyiv 58.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.1%
21.5%
63.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.2%
22.9%
67.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saputin O. (G) 44. Perduta I. 55. Jordan 5. Janjic A. 39. Machelyuk A. 9. Slesar A. 18. Boyko M. 21. Basic J. 27. Jelavic D. 6. Popara D. 30. Nesterenko I.
1. Bushchan G. (G) 23. Malysh N. 94. Kedziora T. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. 6. Brazhko V. 7. Yarmolenko A. 21. Lonwijk J. 10. Shaparenko M. 22. Kabaev V. 11. Ponomarenko M.
Substitutes
28. Budkivskyi P. 8. Dryshlyuk K. 4. Eskinja G. 14. Glushchenko A. 11. Gorbach I. 40. Italo Henrique 10. Juninho 23. Karavashchenko l. (G) 77. Kushnirenko B. 7. Rodrigues G. 25. Rybak V. (G) 80. Yurchenko V.
42. Bah K. 40. Bilovar K. 99. Mounguengue P. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 43. Olkhovyi I. (G) 8. Pikhalyonok O. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 71. Surkis V. (G) 66. Thiare A. 9. Voloshyn N. 34. Zakharchenko V.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.
Kostyuk I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kabaev V. ↓, Bah K. ↑,
56', Boyko M. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
56', Popara D. ↓, Budkivskyi P. ↑,
63', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Voloshyn N. ↑,
63', Shaparenko M. ↓, Rubchynskyi V. ↑,
74', Jelavic D. ↓, Italo Henrique ↑,
80', Jordan 🟨,
80', Malysh N. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Brazhko V. ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, Ponomarenko M. ⚽, Voloshyn N. (A),
87', Mykhaylenko M. 🟨,
87', Budkivskyi P. 🟨,
88', Lonwijk J. ↓, Mykhaylenko M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 0.
Zorya has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dynamo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Zorya has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Dynamo for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zorya has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:40 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zorya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 10:20 goals (averaging 1.1:2.2 per game).