Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar)

Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	STVR1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, Sport TV1


	Zrinjski Mostar		NK Bravo

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.8	6
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.94	6.89
	1.51	4.03	6.43	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.5	4.1	6.49	Watch
	1.5	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)	3.98 ↑ (3.56)	6.53 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
62.4%

Draw
23.3%

NK Bravo
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

26.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zrinjski Mostar's performance.

NK Bravo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zrinjski Mostar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NK Bravo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	5.6%	16.7%

Zrinjski Mostar - NK Bravo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Bravo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zrinjski: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 4. Barisic H. (C) 44. Sunjic T. 91. Ticinovic M. 20. Ivancic A. 10. Kis T. 21. Savic I. 25. Cuze M. 11. Mulahusejnovic N. 17. Malekinusic M.	31. Orbanic M. (G) 5. Spanring M. 50. Jaksic N. 3. Rodrigues M. 24. Jovan G. 17. Ivansek M. 8. Trdin G. (C) 21. Stravs L. 30. Stankovic J. 10. Pecar M. 33. Tucic M.
Substitutes
77. Abdurahimi B. 97. Camber D. 27. Jakovljevic S. 18. Karacic G. (G) 70. Magdic M. 12. Mamic P. 50. Memija K. 8. Mlinar F. 14. Posavec I. 29. Prskalo A. 19. Ramic T. 9. Sabljic F.	23. Benkic K. 26. Hojc V. 66. Hribar L. 29. Jusic L. 13. Likar U. (G) 15. Poplatnik M. 25. Sabotic T. 20. Selan B. 27. Stojanovski D.
Coaches
Ivankovic M.	Arnol A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Ivansek M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Mulahusejnovic N. ↓, Posavec I. ↑,
63', Malekinusic M. ↓, Abdurahimi B. ↑,
67', Stravs L. ↓, Selan B. ↑,
76', Ticinovic M. ↓, Memija K. ↑,
76', Savic I. ↓, Ramic T. ↑,
78', Stankovic J. ↓, Hribar L. ↑,
82', Tucic M. 🟨,
83', Kis T. ↓, Sabljic F. ↑,
85', Selan B. 🟨,
89', Pecar M. ↓, Sabotic T. ↑,
90+1', Orbanic M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bravo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zrinjski have a series of home games.

In this match Zrinjski is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
12.07.24	Slaven Belupo - Zrinjski Mostar	2:2 ✺
08.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Zorya Luhansk	2:1 ✺
04.07.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:3 ✺
28.06.24	Zrinjski Mostar - Vllaznia Shkodër	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWLL
- NK Bravo
Slovenian PrvaLiga
21.07.24	Celje - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Gap Connahs Quay - NK Bravo	0:2 ET ✺
11.07.24	NK Bravo - Gap Connahs Quay	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.24	NK Bravo - MTK Budapest	0:0 ✺
29.06.24	NK Bravo - Spartak Trnava	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTW

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