Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom (Mostar)

Referee: Kardesler A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport, Voyo


	Zrinjski Mostar		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.8
	2.58	3.55	2.48
	2.73	3.34	2.61
	2.91	3.16	2.48	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.8
	2.69	3.46	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.75)	3.32 ↓ (3.53)	2.62 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
35.9%

Draw
28.2%

Slovan Bratislava
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Slovan Bratislava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	28.6%	33.3%

Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Slovan Bratislava will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zrinjski: 17.3% – 58.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Zrinjski (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Slovan Bratislava (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Slovan Bratislava (2.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zrinjski (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Zrinjski (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Slovan Bratislava (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Karacic G. (G) 16. Susic M. 44. Sunjic T. 5. Masic I. 12. Mamic P. 23. Surdanovic S. 21. Savic I. 77. Abramovic K. 42. Cavar M. 22. Pranjic J. 99. Bilbija N. (C)	71. Takac D. (G) 28. Blackman C. 12. Bajric K. 4. Kashia G. 57. Cruz S. 3. Pokorny P. 5. Ibrahim R. 11. Barseghyan T. 10. Tolic M. 7. Weiss V. jr. (C) 9. Kukharevych M.
Substitutes
3. Filipovic B. 20. Ivancic A. 27. Jakovljevic S. 6. Karacic D. 10. Kis T. 40. Ljubic M. (G) 90. Majic T. 9. Mikic L. 8. Sikanjic M. 17. Susak A. 1. Sutkovic A. (G)	77. Ignatenko D. 26. Lichy F. 44. Macik M. (G) 21. Mak R. 18. Marcelli N. 20. Mustafic A. 97. Ofori K. 88. Savvidis K. 13. Strelec D. 31. Trnovsky M. (G) 14. Yirajang A. 23. Zuberu S.
Coaches
Ivankovic M.	Weiss V. sr.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Weiss V. jr. 🟨,
43', Abramovic K. ↓, Mikic L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Cavar M. ↓, Ivancic A. ↑,
53', Pokorny P. 🟨,
55', Mikic L. 🟨,
65', Kukharevych M. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
65', Weiss V. jr. ↓, Marcelli N. ↑,
65', Pokorny P. ↓, Ignatenko D. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Bilbija N. (Pen),
76', 2 - 0, Pranjic J. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Strelec D. ⚽, Barseghyan T. (A),
81', Surdanovic S. ↓, Kis T. ↑,
83', Kis T. 🟨,
86', Barseghyan T. ↓, Mak R. ↑,
86', Tolic M. ↓, Mustafic A. ↑,
86', Pranjic J. ↓, Filipovic B. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Strelec D. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Zrinjski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Slovan Bratislava has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zrinjski won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zrinjski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	4:0 ✺
15.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Virtus	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	Virtus - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
30.05.25	GOŠK Gabela - Zrinjski Mostar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWWLL
- Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Superliga
26.07.25	Tatran Prešov - Slovan Bratislava	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
08.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
01.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	4:0
01.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	2:2
25.07.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava	0:1
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Slovan Bratislava - Zrinjski Mostar	3:1 penalties
18.08.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Slovan Bratislava	1:0

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