The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarajevo 31.6%
Draw 30.5%
Zrinjski Mostar 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
29.4%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
30.2%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarajevo's form might have worsened.
Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Banic I. (G) 99. Barisic B. 22. Beganovic A. (C) 30. Dajcer L. 20. Elezi A. 35. Ignatkov S. 6. Ivanisevic J. 77. Kupresak M. 38. Meite S. 70. Pidro S. 7. Saric I.
18. Karacic G. (G) 77. Abramovic K. 4. Barisic H. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 25. Cuze M. 17. Ilic A. 20. Ivancic A. 27. Jakovljevic S. 5. Lagumdzija D. 12. Mamic P. 19. Vranjkovic M.
Substitutes
23. Agyekum J. 19. Caraballo R. 8. Galesic A. 18. Glogovac M. 27. Hujber L. 17. Kosi F. 2. Maroodza S. 13. Musija S. (G) 24. Zivkovic F.
10. Cuic M. 40. Curdo B. 7. Gajzler N. 21. Grbic V. 11. Juric T. 80. Ljukovac H. 37. Morris D. 6. Savic I. 15. Stapic K. 31. Subaric Z. (G) 8. Vidovic I.
Coaches
Zekic Z.
Rozman S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Vranjkovic M. ↓, Grbic V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saric I. ↓, Hujber L. ↑,
51', Meite S. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
53', Banic I. 🟨,
64', Lagumdzija D. ↓, Savic I. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Ilic A. ⚽,
70', Pidro S. ↓, Kosi F. ↑,
70', Kupresak M. ↓, Caraballo R. ↑,
84', Elezi A. ↓, Agyekum J. ↑,
84', Abramovic K. ↓, Stapic K. ↑,
85', Beganovic A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarajevo won 2.
In recent matches, Sarajevo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zrinjski is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Zrinjski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarajevo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarajevo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Zrinjski
8
7
0
1
17:5
12
21
3
FK Sarajevo
8
4
1
3
6:5
1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Sarajevo - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.