Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Gradski vrt (Osijek)


	Zrinski Osječko		Dubrava

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.9
	2.15	3.2	2.87
	2.16	3.35	2.95
	2.14	3.62	2.9	Watch
	2.21	3.16	3.03
	2.16	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (4)	3.33 ↓ (3.7)	2.93 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinski Osječko
42%

Draw
27.2%

Dubrava
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24.4%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

18.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinski Osječko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zrinski Osječko's performance.

Dubrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dubrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinski Osječko than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zrinski Osječko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dubrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zrinski Osječko - Dubrava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stanic M. (G) 5. Cubel L. 77. Jankovic L. 8. Knezevic B. 17. Korov P. 23. Kupresak T. 9. Mendes M. 15. Pajic M. 14. Vidovic D. 7. Vukusic A. 6. Zirdum M.	30. Mustapic M. (G) 23. Dominic I. 9. Firmino A. 10. Janjis R. 17. Juranovic D. (C) 5. Ljubanovic T. 6. Palic T. 4. Pavlek D. 19. Rauzan J. 18. Tunjic M. 7. Zahora L.
Substitutes
4. Baricjak L. 12. Buckingham R. (G) 27. Gadze G. 16. Ilicic D. 11. Karalic E. 18. Matkovic L. 10. Pejic P. 20. Preljevic E. 2. Vuica J.	21. Brkovic A. 11. Cavar B. 3. Jakovljevic N. 26. Jiakponna H. 24. Lekaj K. 2. Palic J. 27. Pavlovic M. 1. Sarkanj T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 🟨,
6', 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Pavlek D. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Prva NL (Relegation) and 6).

Zrinski Osječko has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dubrava is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dubrava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dubrava is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zrinski Osječko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Zrinski Osječko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Zrinski Osječko
Croatian Prva NL
21.09.24	Cibalia - Zrinski Osječko	5:0 ✺
18.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dugopolje	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Croatia Zmijavci	0:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
10.09.24	Zrinski Osječko - Šibenik	0:2 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
06.09.24	Sesvete - Zrinski Osječko	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- NK Dubrava
Croatian Prva NL
21.09.24	Dubrava - Sesvete	0:0 ✺
18.09.24	Orijent - Dubrava	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Dubrava - Vukovar 91	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Jarun Zagreb - Dubrava	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Dubrava - Bijelo Brdo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
23.03.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dubrava	2:0
16.03.24	Zrinski Osječko - Dubrava	0:2
21.10.23	Dubrava - Zrinski Osječko	0:1

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