Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 5

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Elindus Arena (Waregem)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2


	Zulte Waregem		RFC Liège

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	3.9	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.83	4	3.75	Watch
	1.81	4.09	3.88
	1.81	3.95	3.87
	1.8	3.7	3.6
	1.81	3.84	3.77
	1.8	3.8	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.03)	3.86 ↑ (3.69)	3.75 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
51.3%

Draw
24%

RFC Liège
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

24.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zulte Waregem's performance.

RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zulte Waregem - RFC Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: Zulte Waregem will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van der Gouw E. (G) 19. Nyssen B. 3. Tanghe A. 31. Willen L. 14. Barkarson A. 11. Gavriel S. 8. Rommens N. 17. Demba P. 24. Erenbjerg J. 9. Vossen J. 22. Opoku J.	1. Debaty K. (G) 14. Lucker L. 5. Ngawa P. 19. Lambot B. 25. D'Ostilio J. 15. Arslan A. 8. Pierrot T. 13. Mouchamps D. 17. Da Silva F. 7. Bruggeman B. 10. Moulhi M.
Substitutes
1. Bostyn L. (G) 55. Cappelle Y. 7. Challouk Y. 59. Demuynck D. 47. Labie A. 4. Lemoine L. 21. Nnadi T. 64. Sergeant T. 10. Traore A.	21. Cascio A. 26. Cavelier M. 11. Lefebvre A. 2. Lioka J. 24. Marzo S. 27. Moreau L. 22. Mpenza J. (G)
Coaches
Vandenbroeck S.	Englebert G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Moulhi M. ↓, Cascio A. ↑,
36', Arslan A. 🟨,
36', Bruggeman B. 🟨,
37', Nyssen B. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Vossen J. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
45+3', 2 - 0, Erenbjerg J. ⚽, Gavriel S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cascio A. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Demba P. ⚽, Erenbjerg J. (A),
56', 3 - 1, Da Silva F. ⚽,
59', Mouchamps D. ↓, Cavelier M. ↑,
61', Opoku J. ↓, Challouk Y. ↑,
64', D'Ostilio J. 🟨,
75', Bruggeman B. ↓, Lioka J. ↑,
77', Gavriel S. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
86', Nyssen B. ↓, Lemoine L. ↑,
90', Erenbjerg J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

Recent matches Waregem is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RFC Liège is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Waregem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Waregem is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Waregem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Waregem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Challenger Pro League
15.09.24	Eupen - Zulte Waregem	1:3 ✺
30.08.24	Zulte Waregem - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Deinze - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
18.08.24	Zulte Waregem - Lierse	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Dunkerque - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTLT
- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.09.24	RFC Liège - Anderlecht U23	3:3 ✺
31.08.24	RFC Liège - Beveren	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Genk U23 - RFC Liège	4:1 ✺
18.08.24	RFC Liège - Eupen	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Mons - RFC Liège	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.01.24	RFC Liège - Zulte Waregem	0:2
21.10.23	Zulte Waregem - RFC Liège	1:0
Belgian Cup
20.09.17	RFC Liège - Zulte Waregem	2:3

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