Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 1

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Elindus Arena (Waregem)

Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3


	Zulte Waregem		Lierse

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.33	5.5
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	5.14	5.84
	1.45	4.78	6.01	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.42	4.7	6.21	Watch
	1.42	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.73 ↑ (4.6)	6.07 ↓ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zulte Waregem
65.2%

Draw
19.6%

Lierse
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

19.4%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Zulte Waregem - Lierse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. van der Gouw E. (G) 47. Labie A. 3. Tanghe A. 31. Willen L. 55. Cappelle Y. 17. Demba P. 21. Nnadi T. 8. Rommens N. 10. Traore A. 11. Gavriel S. 9. Vossen J.	12. De Smet J. (G) 2. De Schrijver P. 3. Marijnissen L. 5. Perdichizzi P. 23. Boone V. 15. Mpanzu B. 10. Kireev M. 8. Daguin V. 18. Asare D. 9. Adinany B. 11. Sow O.
Substitutes
5. Agnikoi E. 7. Badou 1. Bostyn L. (G) 59. Demuynck D. 42. Dobbels A. (G) 24. Erenbjerg J. 19. Nyssen B. 64. Sergeant T. 18. Tambedou M. 49. Tangala F.	30. Claes G. 81. Dailly N. 24. Krabbendam C. 31. Laes B. 6. Matuta E. 27. Peuter D. D. 42. Sampers A. 1. Teunckens J. (G) 4. Vanderhallen S.
Coaches
Vandenbroeck S.	Gregoire C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', De Schrijver P. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Perdichizzi P. ⚽, Mpanzu B. (A),
41', Kireev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Vossen J. 🟨,
58', Mpanzu B. ↓, Laes B. ↑,
63', Nnadi T. 🟨,
71', Demba P. ↓, Erenbjerg J. ↑,
76', Sow O. ↓, Dailly N. ↑,
81', Traore A. ↓, Badou ↑,
81', Labie A. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
90', Kireev M. ↓, Claes G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waregem won 3.

Waregem is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Lierse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lierse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lierse have a series of guest games.

In this match Waregem is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Waregem won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Waregem won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zulte Waregem
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Dunkerque - Zulte Waregem	2:2 ✺
03.08.24	Excelsior - Zulte Waregem	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Zulte Waregem - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Zulte Waregem - Red Star	2:2 ✺
24.07.24	ADO Den Haag - Zulte Waregem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTWTW
- Lierse Kempenzonen
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Thes Sport - Lierse	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Heist - Lierse	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	NAC Breda - Lierse	0:1 ✺
21.07.24	Saint-Gilloise - Lierse	4:3 ✺
12.07.24	Roda - Lierse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.05.18	Zulte Waregem - Lierse	Waregem awarded
17.04.18	Lierse - Zulte Waregem	1:4
Club Friendly
11.07.17	Lierse - Zulte Waregem	0:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.15	Zulte Waregem - Lierse	2:3
Belgian Cup
03.12.14	Zulte Waregem - Lierse	2:1 ET
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.10.14	Lierse - Zulte Waregem	3:1
15.12.13	Zulte Waregem - Lierse	3:0

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