Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Zurich II		Lugano II

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.7	3.3
	1.82	3.8	3.35
	1.41	4.53	6.93	Watch
	1.83	3.88	3.39
	1.84	3.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.01)	3.94 ↑ (3.53)	4.07 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zurich II
53.5%

Draw
23.7%

Lugano II
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

24.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

22.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zurich II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zurich II's performance.

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zurich II than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zurich II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zurich II - Lugano II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Di Giusto N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Amirzade M. ⚽,
51', 1 - 2, Amirzade M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lugano II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zurich II will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zurich II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zurich II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zurich II
Swiss Promotion League
07.09.25	Biel-Bienne - Zurich II	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Zurich II - Bavois	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Young Boys II - Zurich II	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Zurich II - Paradiso	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Basel II - Zurich II	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWTT
- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
30.08.25	Brühl - Lugano II	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lugano II - Vevey	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Lugano II - Kriens	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Cham - Lugano II	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
15.03.25	Lugano II - Zurich II	0:1
17.09.24	Zurich II - Lugano II	3:0
26.11.23	Lugano II - Zurich II	1:0
05.08.23	Zurich II - Lugano II	1:1
Club Friendly
26.01.23	Lugano II - Zurich II	1:4

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