Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Zurich II		Luzern II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.75	2.65
	2.18	3.8	2.58
	2.12	3.98	2.57
	2.34	3.89	2.6	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.15	3.88	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)	3.82 ↓ (4.08)	2.59 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zurich II
41.3%

Draw
23.7%

Luzern II
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

22.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

22%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zurich II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Luzern II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zurich II than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Zurich II - Luzern II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Trivellin D. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Meyer S. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Smajic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 2, Lichtenstein D. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Pouomo Tchuente M. J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zurich II won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zurich II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zurich II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Zurich II	10	4	2	4	18:18	0	14
17	Luzern II	10	2	1	7	15:19	-4	7

Last Results with these Odds

Zurich II - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.53%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Luzern II - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.12%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zurich II
Swiss Promotion League
16.05.26	Brühl - Zurich II	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Zurich II - Vevey	8:1 ✺
02.05.26	Breitenrain Bern - Zurich II	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Zurich II - Kriens	0:4 ✺
18.04.26	Cham - Zurich II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
16.05.26	Grand-Saconnex - Luzern II	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Luzern II - Brühl	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Vevey - Luzern II	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Kriens - Luzern II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
05.11.25	Luzern II - Zurich II	0:0
27.04.25	Zurich II - Luzern II	2:1
23.10.24	Luzern II - Zurich II	4:2
09.03.24	Zurich II - Luzern II	4:0
02.09.23	Luzern II - Zurich II	2:2
03.05.23	Luzern II - Zurich II	2:0
29.10.22	Zurich II - Luzern II	1:3

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